Despite Alternate History being one of my favorite subgenres of science fiction it carries the burden of absurdity far more than the typical space opera. Mention the idea of the Roman Empire never falling, the Confederate States winning the Civil War, or Nazi Germany conquering the world to any real historian and at best they will look upon you like a kindergarten teacher does a slow child. You will then receive a lecture spelling out how numerous historical factors assured history could not have happened any other way.
Instability of Roman imperial succession, barbarian invasions, corruption, societal changes, and even climate change all lead to the collapse of the western Roman Empire. With the bulk of manufacturing and manpower overwhelmingly favoring the Union, the southern states would eventually been ground down to dust. And as for Nazi Germany, despite the propaganda Hitler was one insane evil fucker who in many ways was his own worst enemy. Best example of the top of my head, Hitler looked down upon “Jewish Physics” destroying any real chance the Nazis would develop atomic weapons.
So stories of Alternate History largely remain in the background with those enjoying idle speculations on how real history could have unfolded better looked upon as kooks and nerds by those normies just looking to read about starship battles and space wizards fighting with laser swords.
Typically, Alternate History requires some basic but important and often ridiculous change to allow events to differ. In one Harry Turtledove novel entitled, Gun of the South it is time traveling, white South Africans jump back to the American Civil War and give Robert E. Lee’s Army of Northern Virginia AK-47 assault rifles.
Long story short, when no deus ex machina is involved some real historical person is usually changed to be luckier or smarter resulting in the desired plot point. The problem with using that as the historical breaking point is that it strains believability. I’ve read a few essays by real historians who dip their small toe into the acidic Counterfactual seas and they usually conclude that the already existing situations and behaviors of those living in the past meant things just couldn’t have gone much different.
It leaves Alternate History novels, movies, and television shows in an awkward spot having to rely on some improbable event to move the store along. To build an interesting story and not write a boring rehash of actual history with small changes in minor details you have to push the envelope on the suspension of disbelief.
This is where real life and alternate history have intersected in my view.
Mistakes in history are common, and I’ll throw it out there that Trump’s 2016 election win was one of those situations. The Electoral College allowed Trump four years in the White House. Trump was a national and global embarrassment every time he spoke or acted. His stupidity alone resulted in the death of untold number of Americans during the pandemic. Then there were the events of January 6th, 2020 when he came close to overturning the election.
Any reasonable nation would have permanently tossed him aside never to speak his name again favorably.
But what did around seventy-seven million Americans do in 2024? They gave the bastard a win in the national popular vote. This was the very improbable- nonsensical- event that many alternate history stories rely on. It is not an exaggeration to absolutely say Trump has not one redeeming quality. He is the definition of a human parasite totally devoid of any ethical or moral restraints.
But somehow he and his syncopates not only convinced enough Americans that he had some talent with handling the economy but that he could solve international conflicts with an almost literal wave of his hand. If all of Trump’s political career were just an alternate history novel I would have to classify it as a satirical farce.
Ignoring the last eleven years since he rode the golden escalator down to the lobby of
his New York building, I would have never believed for a moment that “grab them by the pussy” man would become the president of the United States.
Even when I was a proud patriot of this country I never harbored any illusions about American Exceptionalism. This country has committed terrible crimes, even worse, we refuses to acknowledge them. But looking from 2015, you could have never convinced me that millions of Americans would sell their souls, either entirely or in part. The idea that millions of Americans would abandon the Constitution and the Bill of Rights unbelievable. A textbook example of the awkward, improbable event that alternative history stories depend on.
Carl Sagan was the first scientist that I ever heard mention the term “Multiverse.” Simply put that our universe resides in a sea of infinite other universes where history unfolded differently. Even at my most nerdy, I always found the concept to be too abstract to be taken literally. The Multiverse was something only theoretical physicists needed to play with seriously.
There is an old Chinese curse that says, “May you live in interesting times.” We sure as Hell won the Multiverse lotto on that one. I’d like to think that out there in the untouchable vastness of the Multiverse someone in a wiser reality is reading about our situation in an alternate history novel and throws the book away thinking no people would ever be so persistently stupid.

